Re: Re: Questions for Christopher Noble & Nicholas Bennett 16 September 2004
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Mark W. Bartlett,
Communicable Disease Control

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Re: Re: Re: Questions for Christopher Noble & Nicholas Bennett

Nicholas Bennet,

I find your reference to HIV as a communicable disease almost absurd. In Canada, from 1985 to 2003, there have been 55,000 people test positive for HIV -- just over 3,000/year. Within that group, the vast majority who test positive are:

1) Men who have sex with men 2) Men who have sex with men who are also IV drug users 3) IV drug users

Of the total who have gone on to develop AIDS (19,334) about 13.0% (2642 cases) of them are supposedly due to hetrosexual contact. Now, I can tell you from first-hand experience (24+ years) in dealing with people with communicable diseases, many will only tell you the truth about their activites (risk factors) after much prodding -- some likely never do. So I strongly suspect that the 13.0% is high as a "hetrosexual contact only" category.

After 23 years, this thing that we call AIDS, has barely touched the hetrosexual world in Canada -- and this is at a time when other STDs are on the rise; and as we know that is a proxy for unprotected sex.

With numbers like this, is it any wonder that there are those of us who wonder about HIV as an STD!

It is clear that if HIV is sexually transmitted, it has a VERY tough time going from A to B. Using these 18 years of data, we have a total of 2642 AIDS cases in the hetrosexual population -- about 146/year among a population of about 15-20 million sexually active people.

It is also clear that the vast majority of cases are still among MSM and I/V drug users -- nothing much has changed in 23+ years!

So I ask you -- where is the hetrosexual AIDS epidemic that was predicted by the experts many years ago? The numbers do not lie -- it just has not happened.

There is clearly something wrong with HIV as an STD. You do not need to have a doctorate in virology to see that is the case -- a graduating high school student can see that it just does not add up.

Competing interests: None declared